BREEDERS CUP ENTRIES AND ODDS...2012

Friday, November 2, 2012 Odds and comments by Brad Free. Horses listed in order of handicapper's preference.
Juvenile Sprint full coverage »			Purse: $500,000 , 6 furlongs
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	Super Ninety Nine	B. Baffert	M. Garcia	Sharp debut, worked super since, good fit in allowance-caliber stake	8-5
	Merit Man	R. Hess, Jr.	P.Valenzuela	Good stakes win over track, jockey P. Valenzuela rode first BC race 1984	2-1
	South Floyd	D. O'Neill	R. Dominguez	Contender in race that lost pizzazz when fast fillies went elsewhere	4-1
	Sweet Shirley Mae	W. Ward	J. Rosario	Posted sharp workouts following gate scratch G1 Frizette Oct. 6 BEL	8-1
	Ceiling Kitty	T. Dascombe	J. Velazquez	Longshot Euro filly owned, bred by Betfair founder Andrew Black	12-1
	Hightail	W. Lukas	R. Maragh	Eight-start maiden curiously spotted, shortens from route to sprint	12-1
	Hazardous	C. O'Callaghan	E. Maldonado	Earned $18k first-off-claim win, giving back most of it BC entry fees	15-1

Marathon full coverage »			Purse: $500,000 , 1 3/4 miles
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	Worth Repeating	M. Machowsky	M. Pedroza	Bargain $62.5k claim sharp now, won a SA dirt marathon 2011	4-1
	Eldaafer	D. Alvarado	R. Santana Jr.	Won this race 2010 at CD, well-bred gelding going strong age 7	9-2
	Not Abroad	M. Petro	N. Petro Jr.	Romped in Maryland-bred stakes, enters in peak form	5-1
	Atigun	K. McPeek	M. Smith	BEL shipper dropping from G1, lone 3yo still has upside	6-1
	Jaycito	B. Baffert	J. Talamo	It turns out this N2X-eligible colt has always been over-rated	6-1
	Commander	T. Taylor	M. Gutierrez	Hastings Park shipper with speed, intriguing longshot	10-1
	Grassy	M. Jones	G. Gomez	Will run all day, but will he run on dirt? All 19 starts on turf	12-1
	Juniper Pass	T. Bell	L. Dettori	Gelded in summer, G2 winner set for best third start back	12-1
	Fame And Glory	A. O'Brien	J. Spencer	A stayer in Europe, trying dirt surface for the first time	15-1
	Balladry	E. Harty	J. Graham	Last by a long way final prep, but has run races that fit here	20-1
	Romp	K. Mulhall	J. Rosario	Always been a cut below this class level, 4-for-53 career	20-1
	Calidoscopio	G. Frankel	A. Gryder	South American 9yo makes U.S. debut following four-month layoff	30-1
	Almudena	J. Suarez	J. Valdivia Jr.	South American mare earned reputation in Peru, these are tougher	30-1
	Sense of Purpose	D. Weld	P. Smullen	Has not done a thing in three starts since July 2011	30-1

Juvenile Fillies Turf full coverage »			Purse: $1,000,000 , 1 mile
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	Sky Lantern	R. Hannon	R. Hughes	G1 win-and-in heroine in Ireland, class of field U.S. debut	2-1
	Watsdachances	C. Brown	J. Castellano	Won on soft, firm and yielding, crushed BEL G3 last out	4-1
	Spring Venture	M. Casse	P. Husbands	Three-for-three vs. dubious WO competition, class test here	6-1
	Waterway Run	R. Beckett	L. Dettori	G3 winner UK been showing speed 7f, two turns is new	8-1
	Flashy Ways	R. Baltas	J. Talamo	$100k BC supplement after clever stakes win SA turf, tough post	10-1
	Tara From the Cape	T. Pletcher	J. Velazquez	Returns to turf following modest fourth on KEE Polytrack	10-1
	Sustained	D. Romans	J. Rosario	Runner-up roughly run BEL G3, improving each start, stuck outside	12-1
	Flotilla	M. Delzangles	C. Lemaire	"Live" longshot was compromised by traffic in Longchamp G1	12-1
	Kitten's Point	G. Motion	R. Bejarano	Took the long way home both starts, G3 runner-up KEE	20-1
	Moonwalk	D. Romans	C. Lanerie	Popped $74 KEE win-and-in G3, race appeared to be weak	20-1
	Summer of Fun	G. Weaver	R. Dominguez	Third head on wire in blanket-finish G3 at KEE	30-1
	Oscar Party	W. Catalano	K. Desormeaux	Fourth head on wire in blanket-finish G3 at KEE	30-1
	The Gold Cheongsam	J. Noseda	W. Buick	UK shipper won 3 of 7, unestablished vs. top company	30-1
	Nancy O	C. Costigan	D. Moran	Significant trouble most recent turf try, eased on dirt in last	30-1
Also Eligible:
	Infanta Branca	A. O'Brien	R. Moore	Sibling to 1998 Derby prospect Lil's Lad, tough to like off Euro form	30-1
	Moulin de Mougin	R. Mandella	C. Nakatani	Ran to hillside pedigree in maiden win, should stay a mile	30-1

Juvenile Fillies full coverage »			Purse: $2,000,000 , 1 1/16 miles
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	Executiveprivilege	B. Baffert	R. Bejarano	Looked like star going 5-for-5, subsequent works imply vulnerability	2-1
	Dreaming of Julia	T. Pletcher	J. Velazquez	Went fast early and slow late in gritty G1 win, now tries two turns	5-2
	Beholder	R. Mandella	G. Gomez	Likely pacesetter from rail, would have been favored Juvenile Sprint	7-2
	Kauai Katie	T. Pletcher	R. Napravnik	Unbeaten NY sprints, rationed speed last, projects for first-over trip	4-1
	Spring in the Air	M. Casse	P. Husbands	Top filly on synthetic and turf, conventional dirt whole new world	10-1
	Broken Spell	W. Lukas	R. Maragh	Breeders’ Cup incomplete without Lukas, longshot late-runner	15-1
	Almost an Angel	W. Ward	J. Rosario	Off board both graded stakes, longshot chance if pace collapses	20-1
	Renee's Queen	E. Guillot	C. Nakatani	Recovered from autumn illness, turf-synth filly working well dirt	30-1

Filly & Mare Turf full coverage »			Purse: $2,000,000 , 1 1/4 miles, turf
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	The Fugue	J. Gosden	W. Buick	Hotshot G1 winner in UK targeted this all season, Euros strong here	5-2
	Ridasiyna	M. Delzangles	C. Lemaire	Top-class import from France arrives with outstanding credentials	7-2
	Marketing Mix	T. Proctor	G. Gomez	Runner-up Beverly D in summer, aided by “rabbit” winning G1 in fall	5-1
	Nahrain	R. Varian	L. Dettori	Narrow miss this race last year, returned to form BEL "yielding"	8-1
	Zagora	C. Brown	J. Castellano	Briefly opened up in Flower Bowl, got caught, distance limitations?	8-1
	I'm A Dreamer	D. Simcock	R. Hughes	Scored summer upset in Beverly D , okay fourth in recent BEL bog	10-1
	Nereid	J. Shirreffs	J. Leparoux	2012 was bust for good filly until recent wake-up, runner-up to 'Mix	12-1
	In Lingerie	T. Pletcher	J. Velazquez	First try on grass after dominating Spinster on Poly, improving 3yo	15-1
	Lady of Shamrock	J. Sadler	M. Smith	Facing older fillies and mares for first time, following 10-week layoff	15-1
	Up	A. O'Brien	R. Moore	G2-caliber Irish filly tried these in Beverly D, was not good enough	20-1
	Star Billing	J. Shirreffs	V. Espinoza	Inconsistent filly has run races that fit for minor award here	30-1
	Stormy Lucy	F. Lucarelli	M. Pedroza	Longshot nibbler all summer and fall in California, faces tall order	30-1

Ladies' Classic full coverage »			Purse: $2,000,000 , 1 1/8 miles
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	Royal Delta	W. Mott	M. Smith	Dominated her final prep, legitimate favorite to repeat this race	2-1
	Awesome Feather	C. Brown	J. Sanchez	10-for-10, earned giant speed figure last out in non-graded stake	4-1
	My Miss Aurelia	S. Asmussen	C. Nakatani	Six-for-six filly beat Questing with weight break, working super SA	9-2
	Questing	K. McLaughlin	I. Ortiz	New York dirt terror missed while conceding 7 lbs., now weight-for-age	5-1
	Love and Pride	T. Pletcher	J. Velazquez	Circumstances to order SA & BEL, is she really lucky or really good?	6-1
	Include Me Out	R. Ellis	J. Talamo	Queen of California was compromised by pace, bias her final prep	8-1
	Grace Hall	A. Dutrow	J. Castellano	Cakewalked vs. Hoosier Park creampuffs, good 3yo faces tougher	12-1
	Class Included	J. Penney	R. Baze	One-two 16 starts Emerald Downs & Hastings Park, big work this track	20-1

Saturday, November 3, 2012 Odds and comments by Mike Watchmaker. Horses listed in order of handicapper's preference.
Juvenile Turf, Purse: $1 million, 1 mile, turf full coverage »
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	Dundonnell	R. Charlton	J. Doyle	Won a Group 3 two back over the subsequent winner of the Royal Lodge	4-1
	Artigiano	M. Al Zarooni	L. Dettori	Improving colt was a good second in the Royal Lodge last time, his best yet	5-1
	Noble Tune	C. Brown	R. Dominguez	Showed a most impressive turn of foot in Pilgrim; won debut on firm turf	6-1
	George Vancouver	A. O'Brien	R. Moore	Hit the board in Group 1's in two of his last three; inconsistency is the issue	8-1
	Balance the Books	C. Brown	J. Leparoux	Beyers are light, but he used a big late kick to win graded stakes in last two	10-1
	Gervinho	C. Gaines	R. Bejarano	Really liked his closing kick to win the local prep for this; is not out of this	10-1
	Fantastic Moon	J. Noseda	K. Fallon	Was favored when fifth in Royal Lodge; previous wins say he can rebound	12-1
	Joha	M. Maker	J. Castellano	Nailed by 'Books' two back; flattered that one with his Gr. 1 Poly win at Kee	12-1
	Know More	D. O'Neill	G. Gomez	Last two not as good as his stakes winning debut; synth form says he'll turf	12-1
	Dry Summer	J. Mullins	J. Talamo	Forget his last; he ran well winning two back at this distance in only turf try	15-1
	Brown Almighty	T. Ice	K. Desormeaux	Hasn't run a bad one yet; faces tougher, but is far from a hopeless longshot	20-1
	I'm Boundtoscore	T. Rankin	S. Rook	Upset winner of the Summer Stakes has also run well each start; deep race	20-1
	Lines of Battle	A. O'Brien	R. Hughes	His Racing Post Ratings are okay, but his one Group stakes try was lacking	20-1
	Summit County	D. Romans	C. Nakatani	Wasn't badly beaten in turf stakes in his last two, but that won't cut it here	30-1
	Also Eligible:
	Rising Legend	J. Sadler	J. Rosario	Scored in his last two in England; been in weaker races than the other Euros	20-1

Filly & Mare Sprint, Purse: $1 million, 7 furlongs full coverage »
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	Groupie Doll	W. Bradley	R. Maragh	Was always good, but has dominated in last four with blinkers; hard to stop	Even
	Turbulent Descent	T. Pletcher	J. Velazquez	Getting back to Cali will have to help; her last two in NY were at best so so	7-2
	Dust and Diamonds	S. Asmussen	J. Leparoux	Like top one, she's on a win streak; her Gallant Bloom last out was best yet	6-1
	Musical Romance	W. Kaplan	J. Leyva	Won this race last year; all three of her wins so far this year were in Florida	8-1
	Rumor	R. Mandella	M. Smith	Her overall form is good; facing tougher than she is accustomed to, though	15-1
	Switch	J. Sadler	G. Gomez	Second in this the last two years, but recent races say she's past her prime	15-1
	Strike the Moon	M. Trombetta	J. Lezcano	Runner up to Groupie Doll in the TCA, but a distant runner up; overmatched	20-1
	Teddy's Promise	R. Ellis	J. Talamo	Can improve second off layoff, but her best efforts were several starts back	20-1
	Belle of the Hall	T. Albertrani	I. Ortiz Jr.	Got her shot here by beating a filly last time who desperately needs a rest	30-1
	Great Hot	A. C. Avila	E. Maldonado	Been a while since her last win, or since her last stakes-class Beyer Fig	30-1

Dirt Mile, Purse: $1 million, 1 mile full coverage »
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	Shackleford	D. Romans	R. Dominguez	Second in Kelso off layoff, yet seems below his terrific early season form	5-2
	Emcee	K. McLaughlin	A. Garcia	On better part of track in Forego win; first start at distance and two turns	3-1
	Jersey Town	B. Tagg	J. Castellano	Strong score in the Kelso; do wonder if he can pair up big efforts like that	4-1
	Fed Biz	B. Baffert	J. Talamo	Disappointed at Hoosier, but is certainly capable of better; a big threat	5-1
	Rail Trip	R. Ellis	J. Valdivia Jr.	At this point, this old pro might find this distance right in his wheelhouse	8-1
	John Scott	C. Gaines	V. Espinoza	Hits hard, but might be a cut below and it appears he prefers synthetics	10-1
	Delegation	M. Casse	P. Husbands	Big fig win last time was due to uncontested lead; this will be his dirt debut	15-1
	Tapizar	S. Asmussen	C. Nakatani	Has had some good days at SA, but his last was so poor it's hard to ignore	15-1
	Second City	B. Cecil	M. Gutierrez	Main claim to fame is a Derby win at Hastings. Overmatched? Just a little.	30-1

Turf Sprint, Purse: $1 million, 6.5 furlongs, turf full coverage »
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	Unbridled's Note	S. Asmussen	C. Nakatani	Won the local prep for this at distance, over course; fig was low, though	4-1
	California Flag	B. Koriner	J. Talamo	Downhill specialist won this race over the course in '09; away since April	9-2
	Bridgetown	T. Pletcher	J. Velazquez	Good turf sprinter for a while and back in top form; downhill is the question	6-1
	Camp Victory	M. Mitchell	J. Leparoux	Downhilling really isn't his game, but he won a Grade 1 three back and is fit	6-1
	Corporate Jungle	C. Brown	J. Castellano	Chased Wise Dan in his last two and clearly, there are none like that here	10-1
	Next Question	M. Trombetta	R. Dominguez	In career form, but this is a better group than the one he beat at Woodbine	10-1
	Great Attack	W. Ward	J. Rosario	Off since May; has done his best work in turf sprints at shorter distances	15-1
	Mizdirection	M. Puype	M. Smith	Another coming off a long layoff, but is 2 for 2 over the course; maybe	15-1
	Starspangledbanner	A. O'Brien	J. O'Brien	One good effort off long layoff is sandwiched by two poor ones; tough read	15-1
	Chosen Miracle	J. Hollendorfer	M. Garcia	Runner up to top one last time out has high early speed, but modest Beyers	20-1
	Great Mills	S. Asmussen	R. Bejarano	Has been close in a few meaningful races, but his wins come in easier spots	20-1
	Reneesgotzip	P. Miller	G. Gomez	She's fast, and being 3 for 3 on synthetic, she could turf; not impossible	20-1
	Upgrade	M. Nihei	R. Maragh	Ran okay in his last two turf sprint attempts in NY; others just look better	20-1
	Tale of a Champion	K. Mulhall	T. Baze	Wasn't beaten that far in the local prep, but wasn't up to the task, either	30-1
	Also Eligible:
	Global Power	T. Amoss	P. Valenzuela	Sports decent form in listed stakes; this is tougher than what he's used to	30-1
	Starspangled Heat	B. Abrams	C. Nakatani	Has lots of downhill course experience, but in entry-level allowance races	30-1

Juvenile, Purse: $2 million, 1 1/16 miles full coverage »
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	Power Broker	B. Baffert	R. Bejarano	Romped in Gr. 1 prep over track in dirt bow, but with the grain of speed bias	2-1
	Shanghai Bobby	T. Pletcher	R. Napravnik	Has been crushing his opponents in New York and should route; obvious	5-2
	Title Contender	B. Baffert	M. Garcia	Only a maiden winner, but it was a fast score over track with blinkers on	5-1
	Speak Logistics	E. Plesa Jr.	A. Serpa	Stepping way up, but he did gallop in two starts since getting blinkers on	8-1
	Capo Bastone	J. Sadler	J. Rosario	Compromised by a speed track when third in the Front Runner; intriguing	10-1
	Dynamic Sky	M. Casse	L. Contreras	Second to Joha at Kee last time; this will be his first ever attempt on dirt	12-1
	Fortify	K. McLaughlin	R. Dominguez	Will have to do better than his flat third in the Champagne last time out	12-1
	Monument	J. Sadler	J. Talamo	Comes off clear win at distance over track, but vs. Cal breds in slow time	15-1
	He's Had Enough	D. O'Neill	M. Gutierrez	Had enough trouble in last, but lacks speed, and is also an unknown on dirt	20-1

Turf, Purse: $3 million, 1 1/2 miles, turf full coverage »
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	Point of Entry	S. McGaughey	J. Velazquez	Won five straight, the last three Gr. 1's; top U.S. hope ends Euro dominance	2-1
	St Nicholas Abbey	A. O'Brien	J. O'Brien	Won this last year; can forgive Arc flop, but some prior efforts were just okay	7-2
	Shareta	A. Fabre	C. Lemaire	Also found wanting on deep going in Arc; prior form sharp; strong threat	5-1
	Little Mike	D. Romans	R. Dominguez	His big wins this year all came with easy early leads; he won't get one here	12-1
	Trailblazer	Y. Ikee	Y. Take	Solid second in U.S. debut and added distance helps; stepping up, though	12-1
	Treasure Beach	A. O'Brien	J. Spencer	Gave top one a run last time on deep footing; firm turf suits top one better	12-1
	Dullahan	D. Romans	J. Rosario	Has run okay on turf, but has yet to win on it; needs a synthetic BC event	15-1
	Slim Shadey	S. Callaghan	G. Gomez	Won the local prep for this, but this is just an exponentially tougher race	15-1
	Cogito	D. O'Neill	L. Dettori	Disappointed in U.S. bow; reports have said he'd be more effective on dirt	20-1
	Kindergarden Kid	P. Miller	J. Leparoux	No match for top one two starts back with the better trip; needs softer spot	20-1
	Turbo Compressor	T. Pletcher	J. Bravo	Tried rating, and finished second to 'Shadey' last time out; in over his head	20-1
	Optimizer	D. W. Lukas	J. Court	Improved dramatically in his last two, but not enough to contend here	30-1

Sprint, Purse: $1.5 million, 6 furlongs full coverage »
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	Coil	B. Baffert	M. Garcia	Solid win in the local prep for this and rarely runs poorly; will be a handful	4-1
	Amazombie	W. Spawr	M. Smith	Won this last year, but his last was a rare dud; formidable if able to rebound	9-2
	Capital Account	B. Baffert	D. Flores	Fast closing, narrowly beaten second in the local prep; wants more ground	6-1
	The Lumber Guy	M. Hushion	J. Velazquez	If he was uncoupled in the Vosburgh, he'd have paid off at 20-1, not 2-1	6-1
	Fast Bullet	B. Baffert	J. Talamo	Obviously talented, but away a year and never ran in a stakes; I don't get it	10-1
	Jimmy Creed	R. Mandella	G. Gomez	Third in the same race the top three come out of; can be in the mix again	10-1
	Poseidon's Warrior	R. Reid Jr.	I. Ortiz Jr.	A big surprise two back, he didn't run as well last time; jury is out on him	12-1
	Sum of the Parts	T. Amoss	J. Leparoux	Versatile, and in career form, but needs a big move forward to contend	12-1
	Smiling Tiger	J. Bonde	R. Dominguez	There was a time when he'd be a major threat in this; looks past his prime	15-1
	Gantry	R. Faucheux	J. Castellano	Good in easier races, but he has never been effective at this high a level	20-1
	Trinniberg	S. Parbhoo	W. Martinez	His stakes wins came with uncontested early leads; no easy leads here	20-1
	Hamazing Destiny	D. W. Lukas	J. Rosario	Give him credit, he's been punching away for years; he's a Gr. 3 horse now	30-1
	Justin Phillip	S. Asmussen	R. Bejarano	At his best on a wet track, which he isn't going to get at SA this time of year	30-1
	Boxeur des Rues	D. O'Neill	M. Gutierrez	Not fast enough or good enough; just doesn't belong in the Breeders' Cup	50-1

Mile, Purse: $2 million, 1 mile, turf full coverage »
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	Wise Dan	C. Lopresti	J. Velazquez	Has dominated since switching back to turf three starts ago; tough to beat	8-5
	Excelebration	A. O'Brien	J. O'Brien	If not for the mighty Frankel, he'd be on a big win streak; top Euro threat	5-2
	Moonlight Cloud	F. Head	T. Jarnet	Capable Euro filly runs against males regularly, so this is not a new thing	5-1
	Obviously	M. Mitchell	J. Talamo	Impressive how he has blossomed of late; risky to sell this speedball short	6-1
	Mr. Commons	J. Shirreffs	B. Blanc	Has ability, but even when he's on his game, his will to win is a question	12-1
	Animal Kingdom	H. G. Motion	R. Bejarano	An odd spot for the 2011 Kentucky Derby winner; first start since February	15-1
	Jeranimo	M. Pender	G. Gomez	Pops up with an occasional big effort, but he's generally not good enough	15-1
	Suggestive Boy	R. McAnally	M. Smith	Will appreciate the return to turf; must significantly improve his U.S. form	20-1
	Willcox Inn	M. Stidham	J. Graham	Soundly beaten second to 'Dan' at Kee; has never been as good as these	30-1

Classic, Purse: $5 million, 1 1/4 miles full coverage »
#	HORSE	TRAINER	JOCKEY	COMMENT	ODDS
	Game On Dude	B. Baffert	R. Bejarano	In top form and loves the track, but is just a little bit shaky at the distance	5-2
	Ron The Greek	W. Mott	J. Lezcano	Won the Big Cap at distance over track last March, but last outing was dull	5-1
	Flat Out	W. Mott	J. Rosario	This isn't at Belmont, his favorite track; beaten chalk in this race last year	6-1
	Fort Larned	I. Wilkes	B. Hernandez	Will forgive his last; his Whitney two back was strong; big rebound threat	6-1
	Mucho Macho Man	K. Ritvo	M. Smith	Was best in defeat in Woodward; not sure if he's quite good enough	8-1
	Richard's Kid	D. O'Neill	G. Gomez	Compromised by speed bias last time, added distance helps; dangerous	10-1
	Nonios	J. Hollendorfer	M. Pedroza	Game second to Dude in Awesome Again; this field is very deep, though	12-1
	To Honor and Serve	W. Mott	J. Velazquez	Has looked top class at various times, but has been too erratic this season	12-1
	Alpha	K. McLaughlin	R. Dominguez	Came up empty in the Pa. Derby; looks to be a cut below these, anyway	20-1
	Pool Play	M. Casse	M. Mena	His two dirt starts were both graded wins; in very tough here, however	20-1
	Brilliant Speed	T. Albertrani	J. Alvarado	Third in last year's Belmont, but he's a turf horse, and is off form, too	30-1
	Handsome Mike	D. O'Neill	M. Gutierrez	Upset winner of Pa. Derby, and he would be a much bigger surprise here