Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Breeders' Cup 2012 pre-entries, odds

http://www.drf.com/news/breeders-cup-2012-pre-entries-odds


Saturday, November 3, 2012 Get Advanced PPs »

Odds and comments by Mike Watchmaker.

Classic »

Purse: $5,000,000, 1 1/4 miles

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
Game On DudeB. BaffertIn top form and loves the track, but is just a little bit shaky at the distance5-2
Royal DeltaW. MottLadies' Classic is the goal, but she is in no way out of place in this event6-1
Flat OutW. MottThis isn't at Belmont, his favorite track; beaten chalk in this race last year8-1
Fort LarnedI. WilkesWill forgive his last; his Whitney two back was strong; big rebound threat8-1
Ron The GreekW. MottWon the Big Cap at distance over track last March, but last outing was dull8-1
Mucho Macho ManK. RitvoWas best in defeat in Woodward; not sure if he's quite good enough10-1
Richard's KidD. O'NeillCompromised by speed bias last time, added distance helps; dangerous12-1
NoniosJ. HollendorferGame second to Dude in the Awesome Again; he could win the Dirt Mile15-1
To Honor and ServeW. MottHas looked top class at various times, but has been too erratic this season15-1
AlphaK. McLaughlinCame up empty in the Pa. Derby; looks to be a cut below these, anyway20-1
DullahanD. RomansNever been first or second on dirt; much prefers synthetic surfaces20-1
Handsome MikeD. O'NeillUpset winner of Pa. Derby, and he would be an even bigger surprise here20-1
Brilliant SpeedT. AlbertraniThird in last year's Belmont, but he's a turf horse, and is off form, too30-1
Pool PlayM. CasseHis two dirt starts were both graded wins; in very deep here, however30-1

Mile »

Purse: $2,000,000, 1 mile, turf

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
Wise DanC. LoprestiHas dominated since switching back to turf three starts ago; tough to beat2-1
ExcelebrationA. O'BrienIf not for the mighty Frankel, he'd be on a big win streak; top Euro threat5-1
Moonlight CloudF. HeadCapable Euro filly runs against males regularly, so this is not a new thing6-1
ObviouslyM. MitchellImpressive how he has blossomed of late; risky to sell this speedball short6-1
Little MikeD. RomansHis two Gr. 1 wins this year came with easy leads; that won't happen here12-1
TrailblazerY. IkeeGood second to Obviously in U.S. bow; the Turf is his first preference12-1
Animal KingdomH. MotionAn odd spot for the 2011 Kentucky Derby winner; first start since February15-1
Doubles PartnerT. PletcherNeeded his last and was very unlucky before the layoff; can get a piece20-1
JeranimoM. PenderPops up with an occasional big effort, but he's generally not good enough20-1
Mr. CommonsJ. ShirreffsHas ability, but even when he's on his game, his will to win is a question20-1
Turbo CompressorT. PletcherTurf is his first preference; has speed, but would be in tough in either spot20-1
Suggestive BoyR. McAnallyWill appreciate the return to turf; must significantly improve his U.S. form30-1
Wilcox InnM. StidhamSoundly beaten second to 'Dan' at Kee; has never been as good as these30-1

Juvenile »

Purse: $2,000,000, 1 1/16 miles

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
Power BrokerB. BaffertRomped in Gr. 1 prep over track in dirt bow, but with the grain of speed bias5-2
Shanghai BobbyT. PletcherHas been crushing his opponents in New York and should route; obvious3-1
Title ContenderB. BaffertOnly a maiden winner, but it was a fast score over track with blinkers on6-1
Know MoreD. O'NeillRan well winning a stakes in debut; last two weren't as good; mixed feelings8-1
Speak LogisticsE. Plesa, Jr.Stepping way up, but he did gallop in two starts since getting blinkers on8-1
Capo BastoneJ. SadlerCompromised by a speed track when third in the Front Runner; intriguing10-1
Dynamic SkyM. CasseSecond to Joha at Kee last time, he is another who has yet to race on dirt12-1
FortifyK. McLaughlinWill have to do better than his flat third in the Champagne last time out12-1
MonumentJ. SadlerComes off clear win at distance over track, but vs. Cal breds in slow time15-1
He's Had EnoughD. O'NeillHad enough trouble in last, but lacks speed, and is also an unknown on dirt20-1

Turf »

Purse: $3,000,000, 1 1/2 miles

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
Point of EntryS. McGaugheyWon five straight, the last three Gr. 1's; top U.S. hope ends Euro dominance3-1
St. Nicholas AbbeyA. O'BrienWon this last year; can forgive Arc flop, but some prior efforts were iffy5-1
SharetaA. FabreAlso found wanting on deep going in Arc; prior form sharp; strong threat6-1
The FugueJ. GosdenFine Euro form against fillies; likely to stay with them in the F&M Turf8-1
TrailblazerY. IkeeSolid second in U.S. debut and added distance helps; stepping up, though10-1
Little MikeD. RomansMile is his first choice; his big wins this year all came with easy early leads12-1
Treasure BeachA. O'BrienGave top one a run last time on deep footing; firm turf suits top one better12-1
DullahanD. RomansHas run okay on turf, but has yet to win on it; Classic is his first preference15-1
Slim ShadeyS. CallaghanWon the local prep for this, but this is just an exponentially tougher race15-1
Bourbon BayN. DrysdaleAdmirable old pro probably wants weaker company at this stage of the game20-1
CogitoD. O'NeillDisappointed in U.S. bow; reports have said he'd be more effective on dirt20-1
Kindergarden KidP. MillerNo match for top one two starts back with the better trip; needs softer spot20-1
Turbo CompressorT. PletcherTried rating, and finished second to 'Shadey' last time out; in over his head20-1
OptimizerD. LukasImproved dramatically in his last two, but not enough to contend here30-1

Dirt Mile »

Purse: $1,000,000, 1 mile

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
ShacklefordD. RomansSecond in Kelso off layoff, yet seems below his terrific early season form7-2
EmceeK. McLaughlinOn better part of track in his big Forego win; Sprint is his first preference4-1
Jersey TownB. TaggStrong score in the Kelso; do wonder if he can pair up big efforts like that5-1
Fed BizB. BaffertDisappointed at Hoosier, but is certainly capable of better; a possibility6-1
NoniosJ. HollendorferGame second to Game On Dude last time; top contender in this sort of spot6-1
Jimmy CreedR. MandellaSprint is his first preference, but he isn't out of his element in either race12-1
Rail TripR. EllisAt this point, this old pro might find the distance right in his wheelhouse12-1
John ScottC. GainesHits hard, but might be a cut below and it appears he prefers synthetics15-1
DelegationM. CasseBig fig win last time was due to uncontested lead; this will be his dirt debut20-1
Handsome MikeD. O'NeillA repeat of his Pa. Derby upset wouldn't be enough; Classic his first choice20-1
TapizarS. AsmussenHas had some good days at SA, but his last was so poor it's hard to ignore20-1
Second CityB. CecilMain claim to fame is a Derby win at Hastings. Overmatched? Just a little.30-1

Turf Sprint »

Purse: $1,000,000, 6 1/2 furlongs (turf)

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
Unbridled's NoteS. AsmussenWon the local prep for this at distance, over course; fig was low, though4-1
California FlagB. KorinerDownhill specialist won this race over the course in '09; away since April9-2
BridgetownT. PletcherGood turf sprinter for a while and back in top form; downhill is the question6-1
Camp VictoryM. MitchellGoing dirt to turf is a positive move and he won a Gr. 1 three back; logical6-1
Corporate JungleC. BrownChased Wise Dan in his last two and clearly, there are none like that here10-1
Next QuestionM. TrombettaIn career form, but this is a better group than the one he beat at Woodbine10-1
Great AttackW. WardOff since May; has done his best work in turf sprints at shorter distances15-1
MizdirectionM. PuypeAnother coming off a long layoff, but is 2 for 2 over the course; maybe15-1
StarspangledbannerA. O'BrienOne good effort off long layoff is sandwiched by two poor ones; tough read15-1
Chosen MiracleJ. HollendorferRunner up to top one last time out has high early speed, but modest Beyers20-1
Great MillsS. AsmussenHas been close in a few meaningful races, but his wins come in easier spots20-1
ReneesgotzipP. MillerShe's fast, and being 3 for 3 on synthetic, she could turf; not impossible20-1
UpgradeM. NiheiRan okay in his last two turf sprint attempts in NY; others just look better20-1
Tale of a ChampionK. MulhallWasn't beaten that far in the local prep, but wasn't up to the task, either30-1
Also Eligible (in order of preference)
Global PowerT. AmossSports decent form in listed stakes; this is tougher than what he's used to30-1
Boxeur des RuesD. O'NeillIt has been a long time since he won and doesn't look fast enough for this30-1
Starspangled HeatB. AbramsHas lots of downhill course experience, but in entry-level allowance races30-1

Sprint »

Purse: $1,500,000, 6 furlongs

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
CoilB. BaffertSolid win in the local prep for this and rarely runs poorly; will be a handful4-1
AmazombieB. SpawrWon this last year, but his last was a rare dud; formidable if able to rebound9-2
Capital AccountB. BaffertFast closing, narrowly beaten second in the local prep; wants more ground6-1
EmceeK. McLaughlinBreakthrough score in his last, although he was out in the better footing6-1
The Lumber GuyM. HushionIf he was uncoupled in the Vosburgh, he'd have paid off at 20-1, not 2-18-1
Jimmy CreedR. MandellaThird in the same race the top three come out of; can be in the mix again10-1
Poseidon's WarriorR. Reid, Jr.A big surprise two back, he didn't run as well last time; jury is out on him15-1
Smiling TigerJ. BondeThere was a time when he'd be a major threat in this; looks past his prime15-1
Sum of the PartsT. AmoosVersatile, and in career form, but needs a big move forward to contend15-1
GantryR. FaucheuxGood in easier races, but he has never been effective at this high a level20-1
TrinnibergS. ParbhooHis stakes wins came with uncontested early leads; no easy leads here20-1
Hamazing DestinyD. LukasGive him credit, he's been punching away for years; he's a Gr. 3 horse now30-1
Justin PhillipS. AsmussenAt his best on a wet track, which he isn't going to get at SA this time of year30-1
Second CityB. CecilHe's the British Columbia Derby winner. He's also in way over his head30-1
Also Eligible (in order of preference)
Fast BulletB. BaffertObviously talented, but away a year and never ran in a stakes; I don't get it15-1
Boxeur des RuesD. O'NeillNot fast enough or good enough for this; Turf Sprint is his first preference50-1

Filly and Mare Sprint »

Purse: $1,000,000, 7 furlongs

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
Groupie DollW. BradleyWas always good, but has dominated in last four with blinkers; hard to stop7-5
Turbulent DescentT. PletcherGetting back to Cali will have to help because her last two in NY were so so5-1
ContestedB. BaffertStrong win in the Test Stakes at the distance; taking on tougher elders now8-1
Dust and DiamondsS. AsmussenLike top one, she's on a win streak; her Gallant Bloom last out was best yet8-1
Musical RomanceW. KaplanWon this race last year; all three of her wins so far this year were in Florida12-1
ReneesgotzipP. MillerCrushed by top male Sprint contenders last time; Turf Sprint first preference15-1
Class IncludedJ. PenneyShe's a win machine, but this isn't Emerald Downs or Hastings, anymore20-1
RumorR. MandellaHer overall form is good; facing tougher than she is accustomed to, though20-1
SwitchJ. SadlerSecond in this the last two years, but recent races say she's past her prime20-1
Teddy's PromiseR. EllisCan improve second off layoff, but her best efforts were several starts back20-1
Belle of the HallT. AlbertraniGot her shot here by beating a filly last time who desperately needs a rest30-1
Great HotA.C. AvilaBeen a while since her last win, or since her last stakes-class Beyer Fig30-1
Self PreservationB. CecilFinally passed the entry level allowance condition; doesn't belong here30-1
Strike The MoonM. TrombettaRunner up to Groupie Doll in the TCA, but a distant runner up; overmatched30-1

Juvenile Turf »

Purse: $1,000,000, 1 mile (turf)

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
DundonnellR. CharltonWon a Group 3 two back over the subsequent winner of the Royal Lodge4-1
ArtigianoM. Al ZarooniImproving colt was a good second in the Royal Lodge last time, his best yet5-1
Noble TuneC. BrownShowed a most impressive turn of foot in Pilgrim; won debut on firm turf6-1
Balance The BooksC. BrownBeyers are light, but he used a big late kick to win graded stakes in last two10-1
Fantastic MoonJ. NosedaWas favored when fifth in Royal Lodge; previous wins say he can rebound10-1
George VancouverA. O'BrienHit the board in Group 1's in two of his last three; inconsistency is the issue10-1
GervinhoC. GainesReally liked his closing kick to win the local prep for this; has a big shot10-1
JohaM. MakerNailed by 'Books' two back; flattered that one with his Gr. 1 Poly win at Kee12-1
Know MoreD. O'NeillLast two not as good as his stakes winning debut; synth form says he'll turf12-1
Dry SummerJ. MullinsForget his last; he ran well winning two back at this distance in only turf try15-1
Brown AlmightyT. IceHasn't run a bad one yet; faces tougher, but he is certainly not out of this12-1
I'm BoundtoscoreT. RankinUpset winner of the Summer Stakes has also run well each start; deep race15-1
Lines of BattleA. O'BrienHis Racing Post Ratings are okay, but his one Group stakes try was lacking12-1
Summit CountyD. RomansWasn't badly beaten in turf stakes in his last two, but that won't cut it here15-1
Also Eligible (in order of preference)
Snow KingJ. GosdenWon a maiden event at Ascot in his only start; did beat 16 doing it, though20-1
He's Had EnoughD. O'NeillJuvenile is his first preference; deep closer is vulnerable to bad racing luck20-1
Gabriel CharlesJ. MullinsAn unknown on turf; his dirt, synthetic efforts say he's going the wrong way30-1
Rising LegendJ. SadlerScored in his last two in England; been in weaker races than the other Euros20-1
Under ReviewJ. SadlerCompetitive in both starts at Arlington, but in easier and much slower races30-1

Friday, November 2, 2012 Get Advanced PPs »

Odds and comments by Brad Free.

Ladies' Classic »

Purse: $2,000,000, 1 1/8 miles

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
Royal DeltaB. MottDominated her final prep, legitimate favorite to repeat this race5-2
Awesome FeatherC. Brown10-for-10, earned giant speed figure last out in non-graded stake9-2
QuestingK. McLaughlinNew York dirt terror missed while conceding 7 lbs., now weight-for-age5-1
Love and PrideT. PletcherCircumstances to order SA & BEL, is she really lucky or really good?6-1
My Miss AureliaS. AsmussenSix-for-six filly beat Questing with weight break, working well SA6-1
Grace HallA. DutrowCakewalked vs. Hoosier Park creampuffs, good 3yo faces tougher8-1
Include Me OutR. EllisQueen of California was compromised by pace, bias her final prep8-1
In LingerieT. PletcherImproving 3yo defeated older KEE Poly, first preference F&M Turf12-1
Class IncludedJ. PenneyOne-two 16 starts Emerald Downs & Hastings Park, first pref F&M Sprint30-1

Filly & Mare Turf »

Purse: $2,000,000, 1 1/4 miles, turf

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
RidasiynaM. DelzanglesTop-class import from France arrives with outstanding credentials3-1
The FugueJ. GosdenHotshot G1 winner in UK targeted this all season, Euros strong here4-1
Marketing MixT. ProctorRunner-up Beverly D in summer, aided by “rabbit” winning G1 in fall5-1
NahrainR. VarianNarrow miss this race last year, returned to form BEL "yielding"8-1
ZagoraC. BrownBriefly opened up in Flower Bowl, got caught, distance limitations?8-1
I'm A DreamerD. SimcockScored summer upset in Beverly D , okay fourth in recent BEL bog8-1
NereidJ. Shirreffs2012 was bust for good filly until recent wake-up, runner-up to 'Mix12-1
In LingerieT. PletcherFirst try on grass after dominating Spinster on Poly, improving 3yo12-1
Lady of ShamrockJ. SadlerFacing older fillies and mares for first time, following 10-week layoff15-1
UpA. O'BrienG2-caliber Irish filly tried these in Beverly D, was not good enough15-1
Star BillingJ. ShirreffsInconsistent filly has run races that fit for minor award here30-1
Stormy LucyF. LucarelliLongshot nibbler all summer and fall in California, faces tall order30-1
AlmudenaJ. SuarezFirst since May for South American import, first preference Marathon30-1

Juvenile Fillies »

Purse: $2,000,000, 1 1/16 miles

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
ExecutiveprivilegeB. BaffertLooked like star going 5-for-5, but Oct. 21 work reportedly was blah8-5
Dreaming of JuliaT. PletcherWent fast early and slow late in gritty G1 win, now tries two turns5-2
BeholderR. MandellaSpeedster will use gas elsewhere, first preference Juvenile Sprint7-2
Kauai KatieT. PletcherUnbeaten New York sprints, interesting pace play w/out Beholder7-2
Spring in the AirM. CasseTop filly on synthetic and turf, conventional dirt whole new world6-1
Broken SpellW. LukasBreeders’ Cup incomplete without Lukas, longshot late-runner8-1
Renee's QueenE. GuillotRecovered from autumn illness, turf-synth filly working well dirt10-1
Sweet Shirley MaeW. WardGate scratch BEL Oct. 6 Frizette, first preference Juvenile Sprint15-1
Almost an AngelW. WardOff board both graded stakes, first preference Juvenile Sprint15-1

Marathon »

Purse: $500,000, 1 3/4 miles

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
Worth RepeatingM. MachowskyBargain $62.5k claim sharp now, won a SA dirt marathon 20117-2
EldaaferD. AlvaradoWon this race 2010 at CD, well-bred gelding going strong age 74-1
Not AbroadM. PetroRomped in Maryland-bred stakes, enters in peak form9-2
AtigunK. McPeekBEL shipper dropping from G1, lone 3yo still has upside5-1
JaycitoB. BaffertIt turns out this N2X-eligible colt has always been over-rated10-1
CommanderT. TaylorHastings Park shipper with speed, intriguing longshot15-1
GrassyM. JonesWill run all day, but will he run on dirt? All 19 starts on turf15-1
Juniper PassT. BellGelded in summer, G2 winner set for best third start back15-1
BalladryE. HartyLast by a long way final prep, but has run races that fit here20-1
Fame and GloryA. O'BrienA stayer in Europe, trying dirt surface for the first time20-1
RompK. MulhallAlways been a cut below this class level, 4-for-53 career20-1
CalidoscopioG. FrankelSouth American 9yo makes U.S. debut following four-month layoff30-1
AlmudenaJ. SuarezSouth American mare earned reputation in Peru, these are tougher30-1
Sense of PurposeD. WeldHas not done a thing in three starts since July 201130-1
Also Eligible (in order of preference)
Quail HillD. O'NeillGot blown away by Worth Repeating at Los Angeles County Fair20-1

Juvenile Fillies Turf »

Purse: $1,000,000, 1 mile (turf)

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
Sky LanternR. HannonG1 win-and-in heroine in Ireland, class of field U.S. debut3-1
WatsdachancesC. BrownWon on soft, firm and yielding, crushed BEL G3 last out4-1
Spring VentureM. CasseThree-for-three vs. dubious WO competition, class test here6-1
Waterway RunR. BeckettG3 winner UK been showing speed 7f, two turns is new8-1
Flashy WaysR. Baltas$100k BC supplement after clever stakes win SA turf course10-1
Tara From the CapeT. PletcherReturns to turf following modest fourth on KEE Polytrack10-1
SustainedD. RomansRunner-up in roughly run BEL G3, improving each start12-1
FlotillaM. Delzangles"Live" longshot was compromised by traffic in Longchamp G112-1
Kittten's PointG. MotionTook the long way home both starts, G3 runner-up KEE20-1
MoonwalkD. RomansPopped $74 KEE win-and-in G3,  race appeared to be weak20-1
Summer of FunG. WeaverThird head on  wire in blanket-finish G3 at KEE30-1
Oscar PartyW. CatalanoFourth head on  wire in blanket-finish G3 at KEE30-1
The Gold CheongsamJ. NosedaUK shipper won 3 of 7, unestablished vs. top company30-1
Nancy OC. CostiganSignificant trouble most recent turf try,  eased on dirt in last30-1
Also Eligibles (in order of preference)
Infanta BrancaA. O'BrienSibling to 1998 Derby prospect Lil's Lad, tough to like off Euro form30-1
Renee's QueenE. GuillotDMR turf stake win, good dirt works, first preference Juvenile Fillies30-1
Manuka HoneyJ. TerranovaMaiden two starts into career, placed  “yielding” G3 at BEL20-1
Moulin de RouginR. MandellaRan to hillside pedigree in maiden win, should stay a mile20-1

Juvenile Sprint »

Purse: $500,000, 6 furlongs

HORSETRAINERCOMMENTODDS
BeholderR. MandellaFreaky win speed-biased track, 108 Beyer highest of year by 2yo7-5
Kauai KatieT. PletcherFast NY filly rationed speed and romped, first preference Juve Fillies3-1
Merit ManR. Hess, Jr.Sharp win over track, jockey P. Valenzuela rode the first BC race 19844-1
Super Ninety NineB. BaffertDebut winner reportedly "outworked" Executiveprivilege on Oct. 218-1
South FloydD. O'NeillAdds heat, ranks below the top contenders according to speed figures10-1
Sweet Shirley MaeW. WardPosted two sharp workouts following Oct. 6 gate scratch Frizette at BEL12-1
Ceiling KittyT. DascombeOvermatched Euro filly owned, bred by Betfair founder Andrew Black20-1
Almost an AngelW. WardTrouble-prone miss not fast enough on figs, bred for synth/turf20-1
HightailW. LukasEight-start maiden curiously spotted, shortens from route to sprint30-1
HazardousC. O'CallaghanEarned $18k first-off-claim win, giving back most of it BC entry fees30-1
Cross Entered Horses
Almost an Angel – Juvenile Sprint (1), Juvenile Fillies (2)
Almudena – Marathon (1), Filly and Mare Turf (2)
Beholder – Juvenile Sprint (1), Juvenile Fillies (2)
Boxeur des Rues – Turf Sprint (1), Sprint (2)
Class Included – Filly and Mare Sprint (1), Ladies Classic (2)
Dullahan – Classic (1), Turf (2)
Emcee – Sprint (1), Dirt Mile (2)
Handsome Mike – Classic (1), Dirt Mile (2)
He’s Had Enough – Juvenile (1), Juvenile Turf (2)
In Lingerie – Filly and Mare Turf (1) , Ladies Classic (2)
Jimmy Creed – Sprint (1), Dirt Mile (2)
Kauai Katie – Juvenile Fillies (1), Juvenile Sprint (2)
Know More – Juvenile Turf (1), Juvenile (2)
Little Mike – Mile (1), Turf (2)
Nonios – Dirt Mile (1), Classic (2)
Reneesgotzip – Turf Sprint (1), Filly and Mare Sprint (2)
Renees Queen – Juvenile Fillies (1), Juvenile Fillies Turf (2)
Royal Delta – Ladies Classic (1), Classic (2)
Second City – Sprint (1), Dirt Mile (2)
Sweet Shirley Mae – Juvenile Sprint (1), Juvenile Fillies (2)
The Fugue – Filly and Mare Turf (1), Turf (2)
Trailblazer – Turf (1), Mile (2)
Turbo Compressor – Turf (1), Mile (2)

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